分析:比特币矿工行为显示仍未确认市场底部,抛压趋缓但谨慎情绪延续

Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant 分析师指出,从多项矿工指标综合来看,比特币 矿工整体仍未表现出“确认市场底部”的行为特征,当前更多处于观望与谨慎调整阶段。与此同时,矿工头寸指数(MPI)仍处于负值区间,表明当前抛售强度低于历史均值,矿工并未进入恐慌性抛售阶段,而是以维持现金流为主的“被动卖出”,这意味着短期出现极端下跌的概率相对有限。此外,Puell Multiple 仍低于 1,也进一步说明矿工收入处于历史偏弱水平,整体盈利能力承压,但尚未出现典型周期底部伴随的强力积累行为。
分析认为,当前矿工更接近“等待阶段”,既未出现投降式抛售,也未进入积极囤币周期,类似于市场底部形成前的典型过渡状态。整体来看,尽管矿工抛压有所放缓,但链上结构仍显示短期供应压力存在,比特币预计将继续维持区间震荡格局,市场情绪短期仍偏谨慎。
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