宇神ETH

Macro Highlights Preview for Next Week (5.11–5.15) In the coming week, the global capital markets will focus primarily on U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy stance. Key Timeline Overview Monday (May 11) The market is expected to be relatively flat overall, with funds adopting a wait-and-see approach, awaiting the release of critical data. Tuesday (May 12) The U.S. April CPI Consumer Price Index will be released, the most significant and impactful core data of the week. Wednesday (May 13) The U.S. April PPI Producer Price Index will be published, further confirming the overall inflation level. Thursday to Friday (May 14–15) Several Federal Reserve officials will deliver public speeches, and the market will begin to digest the data and develop correlated movements. From a market perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index has weakened for two consecutive weeks; international gold prices have risen over 2% during the same period; in oil, Brent crude has fallen below $95, and WTI crude has dropped below the $90 mark. Next week can be considered a critical watershed for the market. If the CPI data exceeds market expectations, it will boost the dollar's strength, thereby suppressing gold and crypto asset performance; If inflation data falls short of expectations, market expectations for rate cuts will rise, which in turn will benefit various risk assets. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

If you plan to treat cryptocurrency trading as a long-term career, or even want to rely on this path to achieve a stable family income, then you must remember the following 10 practical tips. 1. For strong popular coins, once they have been adjusting continuously at a high level for nine days, it is a signal worth focusing on and following up opportunistically. 2. Regardless of the coin, if it rises continuously for two days, you should appropriately reduce your position at the high point to secure profits. 3. For targets with a single-day increase of over 7%, there is usually momentum to push higher the next day; no need to rush to exit, you can hold on and observe the market. 4. For truly strong bull coins, do not chase highs recklessly; patiently wait for the correction to stabilize before making a move, which is safer. 5. If a coin’s price remains flat with minimal volatility for three consecutive days, observe for another three days; if there is still no movement, consider switching to another target. 6. If your position does not break even or earn above the previous day’s cost the next day, do not hold illusions; exit timely to avoid risks. 7. There is a market rule: "If there are three, there must be five; if there are five, there must be seven." Coins that rise for two consecutive days are suitable for buying on dips; by the fifth day is often the best time to exit and take profits. 8. The volume-price relationship is a core reference, and trading volume is key to judging the market in crypto. During low-level sideways trading, a volume breakout must be closely watched; at high levels, if volume increases but price stagnates, decisively clear your position and exit. 9. Only operate on coins in an uptrend for the highest success rate and to avoid wasting time. A 3-day moving average turning upward indicates a short-term uptrend; A 30-day moving average turning upward signals the start of a mid-term trend; An 80-day moving average turning upward means entering the main upward wave; A 120-day moving average turning upward represents that the long-term major trend is established. 10. The crypto market has never been exclusive to large funds; small funds also have opportunities to turn around. As long as you find the right trading logic, maintain a steady mindset, strictly follow trading discipline, and patiently wait for suitable market conditions, you can also achieve stable returns. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

Based on current data: Once Bitcoin successfully holds and breaks through the 82,000 mark, the market's existing short positions will be concentratedly liquidated, with the overall liquidation scale estimated to reach 1 billion USD. Conversely, if the market weakens and loses the 79,000 support level, the long positions on major mainstream exchanges will also face a concentrated stampede, with cumulative liquidations amounting to about 2 billion USD. Currently, the market is prone to a double liquidation scenario: First, a rebound surge reaching 82,000 to wash out all off-exchange short positions; Then a rapid drop from the high to test 78,000, reversing to harvest long positions. This entire movement is a typical pump-and-dump pattern, ultimately washing out all long and short positions. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

Reviewing past historical trends reveals a pattern: rebounds during bear markets rarely last beyond nine weeks. Whether it was the prolonged downtrend environment in 2018 or the weakening oscillation phase after November 2021, rebound rallies typically reach a critical point by the eighth or ninth week. Once funding rates rise and contract liquidations concentrate, the market immediately turns downward. However, this current rebound has stubbornly extended to the thirteenth week, completely breaking away from previous historical rhythms. There are only two logical explanations: Either the entire market’s capital structure and gameplay have changed, rendering old rules obsolete; Or this bull run’s inducement is extremely convincing and prolonged enough to gradually brainwash originally skeptical retail investors into unanimous bullishness. My view is clear: the biggest risk now isn’t fearing the price won’t rise, but mistiming the rhythm. If the market rallies strongly from the bottom only to remain a bear market rebound, the subsequent correction will be very severe. Historically, the most intense short squeezes often occur at the final stage of inducement, when the main players drain all liquidity at the peak of market euphoria. Therefore, there’s no need to rush into bullish or bearish positions at this stage. Don’t get misled by narratives like a new market phase starting or a super-cycle bear market rebound; tagging the market with labels is meaningless. The real directional signals come down to two core indicators: First, whether contract open interest quietly shrinks during sideways consolidation; Second, whether spot buying strength can withstand the current chip turnover. If both indicators lag, no matter how long the rebound drags on, historical cycle rules will eventually take effect. Conversely, if on-chain data continues to quietly accumulate, then we must admit this cycle is indeed different from previous ones. At this sensitive juncture, rather than subjectively guessing price direction or betting on trends, it’s more practical to manage positions prudently and control risk well. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

It has been 750 days since Bitcoin's fourth halving. Looking at past cryptocurrency cycle patterns, around the 107-week mark after halving has always been a crucial turning point for market weakness. From historical trends, it is clear that: The market enthusiasm brought by the halving gradually fades The phase of market chip turnover and differentiation continues to ferment Subsequently, a deep correction often follows Currently, we are exactly at this critical 750-day window, and the market trend highly coincides with the rhythm of previous bull and bear cycles. Go with the trend, don't go against the historical cycle. Even though many are optimistic about a new high in the near future, historical data patterns suggest that before the next major upward rally begins, the market will most likely undergo another round of downward volatility or wide and intense consolidation. Be sure to manage your positions cautiously; this cycle is not abnormal, it is simply following its inherent rhythm to complete the process. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

In 5 days, Powell will officially step down as Fed Chair, and Kevin Walsh is about to take over. Based on his past statements and remarks, the market generally expects a rate cut in May or June. After all, the pressure from Trump is at its peak, and if the rate cut doesn't go his way, he will likely face "reprimands." This puts Walsh at a difficult crossroads: - Comply with the rate cut: completely follow Trump's will, making him basically a puppet chair, and the Fed's independence would be lost. - Insist on no cut: resist the pressure and defend the Fed's independence, making him the second Powell, destined to have tense relations with the White House. What do you think he will choose in the end? $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

Everything in the world essentially follows a cycle; history always repeats itself, and there is never a completely new storyline. Looking back at the market trend in October 2025, veteran players should remember it vividly. At that time, Bitcoin experienced an illogical continuous rally, with its price breaking through barriers, soaring from 110,000 to 120,000, and reaching a peak of 126,200 on October 6. Just when the market was generally optimistic, believing it could continue to rise and stabilize above the 126,000 mark with a promising outlook, an unexpected black swan event occurred on the night of October 10. At that time, the entire crypto market sentiment was extremely optimistic, the market was stable, and almost no one anticipated the imminent risk. Yet, precisely at this critical moment late on October 10, the market direction suddenly reversed, with the entire market crashing sharply and various altcoins collapsing and shrinking drastically. The total liquidation amount of contracts across the network reached as high as 20 billion USD in a single day, setting a new industry record for the highest single-day liquidation, causing severe market losses. In contrast, the current U.S. stock market trend and rhythm are strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s last year. It has been a continuous one-sided rally, which increasingly unsettles people. Financial markets are always like this—huge hidden risks quietly accumulate during bull runs. Moreover, the U.S. stock market has a major hidden risk: companies like OpenAI, which have not yet officially gone public, already have valuations reaching the trillion-dollar level, making the bubble risk very apparent. Another key point is that in one month, the World Cup involving the U.S., Canada, and Mexico will begin. At that time, a large amount of liquidity will flow into event-related sectors, causing a significant diversion of capital market funds and further draining market liquidity. $BTC $ETH #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #SEC双线监管：链上定义与预测市场

🇷🇺 Putin's recent move has directly pierced the West's established financial rules. Russia has now completely changed the global energy game, with oil and natural gas trades switching to settlement in rubles and yuan, no longer relying on the dollar or euro. This is no longer just an adjustment at the energy level, it is actually challenging the West's economic dominance, the entire global power structure is quietly undergoing a major transformation⚡ $BTC $ETH #Nonfarm data continuously exceeds expectations: rate cut expectations decline #US-Iran ceasefire: MOU framework still progressing

Ordinary people who want to truly break through social classes and earn their first pot of gold in this lifetime must understand Sun Yuchen's latest annual assessment: 2026 is the last golden window for ordinary people to get on board and make a comeback. Many online dismiss his views as casual boasts or absurd predictions, but those who understand the bigger picture know this is not just idle talk; it is the underlying logic and survival rule for the wealth reshuffle over the next decade. Looking back ten years ago, he advised young people not to blindly buy houses or cars but instead strongly favored investing in the tech sector. At that time, many scoffed and saw it as a scam, but in just ten years, he directly rose to become a top post-90s billionaire with a net worth surpassing hundreds of billions. Now he publicly states again that 2026 is a miraculous inaugural year where market trends and opportunities coexist. He offers two very practical principles for dealing with life and work: Use AI to efficiently connect and solve problems, reducing meaningless social pleasantries; decisively clear out old contacts with rigid thinking and outdated cognition, and stay away from old-school mindsets that drain you. Many think this approach is too extreme, but it has long exposed the harsh truth of the wealth circle: those who can seize top wealth dividends in the next decade will definitely not cling to outdated thinking from years ago. I have reorganized his entire comeback logic and condensed it into three practical mindset principles that ordinary people can directly apply, each crucial to whether they can break through and stand out: 1. Let go of obsession with appearances; first seize the original dividends of emerging trends Many want side businesses or extra income but get stuck on packaging, designing logos, and focusing on visual quality, overly pursuing surface perfection. In contrast, those who made money early never let worldly appearances bind them. When Sun Yuchen laid out his tracks early on, it didn’t look like a respectable career by traditional standards, yet he quietly captured the era’s biggest dividends. Remember this rule: when an industry becomes understood and accessible to everyone, the wealth-making opportunities are gone, leaving only followers as cannon fodder. Real big money and opportunities always hide in early-stage sectors that seem unremarkable or even somewhat rough. 2. Force cognitive iteration; don’t use old thinking to find new opportunities Old life experiences can’t support the wealth paths of the new era. Why suggest staying away from old circles? Essentially, it helps you block interference from outdated cognition. Many want to turn their lives around but gather daily at dinners, copying outdated success experiences from older generations, thinking it’s valuable advice, but in reality, it shackles their thinking. 2026 is a turning point; traditional old businesses have high barriers and growth ceilings; meanwhile, AI, new media, and health have become essential new era sectors, like water, electricity, and gas. These sectors don’t rely on background resources but compete on who awakens their cognition faster and acts quicker. 3. Abandon heavy asset models; enter the era of light assets for individuals In the past, business meant building large factories, hiring staff, stocking inventory, and scaling up, which seemed grand but actually meant working for rent, employees, and operating costs, losing control. Sun Yuchen’s ability to leverage a trillion-scale business as an individual lies in breaking out of traditional manpower models and taking off with computing power and AI. Human nature inevitably involves emotions, internal conflicts, procrastination, but AI has pure execution power. Large enterprises have many layers, slow decisions, and clumsy turns, easily falling into crises; the light asset model of individuals plus AI is flexible, free, and agile. The lighter the track, the easier it is to take off and raise the ceiling. Some have risen from ordinary to billionaires in just ten years. The era’s wealth windfalls for ordinary people have always been fleeting windows of a few seconds; once missed, you can only watch as a bystander for years. The year 2026, the Bingwu year, is a key countdown point for this wave of opportunity. History always repeats but never gives a second chance. Ten years ago, the window opened and most chose to mock and wait; now a new opportunity quietly leaves a crack open. Do you want to silently envy others’ achievements ten years from now, or start imperfectly now, decisively join in, and become someone others look up to? $BTC $ETH #非农数据连续超出预期：降息预期走低 #美伊停火：MOU框架仍在推进

Warren Buffett, now 95 years old, has witnessed every major crash in the capital markets over the past sixty years. Recently, he issued a rare and weighty market warning in his career. He bluntly stated that the speculative gambler mentality among market participants today is something he has never seen before. More sharply, he described today's stock market as a sanctuary with casino-like attributes. On the other hand, Berkshire Hathaway currently holds nearly $400 billion in cash, marking the largest cash reserve in the company's history. It should be noted that this investment giant had already significantly increased his cash holdings ahead of the 2008 financial crisis as a hedge. He has always adhered to the classic investment principle: be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. But under the current market conditions, even Buffett himself has no intention to enter the market greedily. This top wealth creator in history has long stated that the current market is flooded with speculation and risks are sharply rising. The vast majority choose to turn a blind eye, while only a few are willing to stay clear-headed and respect risk. History has always favored this small group of rational people. $BTC $ETH #非农数据连续超出预期：降息预期走低 #美伊停火：MOU框架仍在推进