分析师:比特币抛压已明显减弱,对监管与政策敏感度下降

ChainCatcher 消息,特朗普已要求助手准备对霍尔木兹海峡实施延长的美国海军封锁,导致布伦特原油价格突破每桶 111 美元,但比特币仍维持在窄幅波动区间内。特朗普周二称伊朗处于“崩溃状态”。德黑兰则表示,若华盛顿解除对伊朗港口的封锁,可能接受一项重新开放该海峡的临时协议。
Split Research 创始人 Zaheer Ebtikar 在一份报告中表示,比特币相对平静反映出市场结构发生变化。他表示:“供给过剩终于消化完毕,因宏观转变或量子担忧而恐慌的卖方早已退出,使得市场卖方力量比几个月前明显更弱。”Ebtikar 补充:“比特币对监管噪音或央行政策的敏感度远低于人们的想象。其敏感度纯粹是更广泛波动率的函数,由于我们目前处于较为平静的交易区间,并没有立即出场的紧迫感。”
Bitget 分析师标注 75,000 美元为自 3 月底以来一直维持的上行区间被打破的关键位,若被有效跌破,可能为进一步下行打开空间。从当前水平反弹回 80,000 美元则将保持反弹结构完整,并为重新测试自 2 月以来一直拒绝比特币每次冲高的阻力位铺路。
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