因结算规则模糊,Polymarket上“DeepSeek V4在4月24日发布”陷入争议裁决

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示, 今日 DeepSeek 官方宣布发布了 DeepSeek-V4 的预览版本,但在 Polymarket 上关于 DeepSeek V4 具体发布时间却陷入了三轮 UMA 争议裁决。
原因是在该事件的结算规则中说明,只有代表 DeepSeek V 系列核心版本演进的版本,且“明确定位为 DeepSeek-V3 的继任者”,才符合条件,其他模型,例如衍生模型(例如“V4-Lite”、“V4-Mini”)、任务专用模型、R 系列推理模型以及实验性或预览版(例如“V4-Exp”、“V4-Preview”),如果并非定位为新的 V 系列旗舰模型,则不符合条件。
因此,部分反对者认为 DeepSeek 官方今日发布的是 V4-Preview 版本,而非正式的 V4,“DeepSeek V4 在 4 月 24 日发布”不应该结算为 Yes,而是 NO。
Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场,在定价之前,看见变化。
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