Polymarket预测SpaceX估值有可能超2万亿美元概率达73%
Odaily星球日报讯 预测网站 Polymarket 上的押注者预测，SpaceX 公开上市时的市值几乎肯定会突破 1 万亿美元，且有 73%的概率超过 2 万亿美元。这些押注与 SpaceX 上市首日的收盘市值挂钩。该公司计划于 6 月挂牌上市，预计目标估值将超过 1.5 万亿美元。
此外，Polymarket 上的数据显示，其市值突破 3 万亿美元的概率为 17%，市值突破 4 万亿美元的概率为 2%。该预测网站大约在两周前上线了针对 SpaceX 市值的押注，但目前相关合约交投清淡，或意味著外界对上述概率持保留态度。若 SpaceX 的市值真的突破 2 万亿美元，其体量将至少超越美股七雄中的其中两家：Meta Platforms(META.O)和特斯拉(TSLA.O)，他们目前的市值分别为约 1.5 万亿美元和约 1.6 万亿美元。(金十)
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