TA Capital

Everyone is anxious about today's $1.6 billion BTC options expiry, but I say this kind of news is actually overhyped. The call-to-put ratio is 0.74, bulls are dominant, yet the max pain point is at 79,500 — isn't that clearly a setup for a squeeze? The more the market panics, the less I worry. The $410 million Ethereum options expiry is the same; volatility on expiry day is normal. Just watch the market, don't get swayed by emotions. The real show is yet to come.

Risk appetite has returned, making the Australian dollar the frontrunner among major currencies. Hopes for the reopening of diplomatic channels between the US and Iran have shifted funds from safe-haven assets to commodity currencies. However, analysts warn that any diplomatic setback could quickly reverse the gains.

$BCH just touched 486, but the daily chart didn't hold, bears still dominate. If it can't break through, the pullback could be harsher. Don't rush to chase, wait for signal confirmation first. #BCH #TechnicalAnalysis

OpenAI has finally taken action: ChatGPT has launched Trusted Contact. When the system detects that you are talking about self-harm, it will automatically notify your preset contacts. Behind this are 33 AI-related suicide lawsuits, so this matter can't be ignored. It can be called a milestone in AI ethics, but frankly, the entire industry will sooner or later have to face this hurdle.

Structure is in place, sentiment is in place, reduce positions where needed, enter the market where appropriate. First, look at $RON, currently at 0.1082. I confirmed a short position entry at 0.1136, with a target of 0.0938 and a stop loss at 0.1195. RSI has reached 72.1, a clear short-term overheat signal. Structurally, this position is a rebound exhaustion zone; it’s not a time to be afraid, but a time to execute. Next, look at $POR, current price 0.6521. I entered at 0.6847, stop loss at 0.7133, target at 0.5869. RSI is also at 69.3, not extremely overbought, but combined with the pattern, it’s a typical prelude to a pullback. Both coins are expected to break down after a small high-level structural consolidation; the short position logic is consistent, but position sizing and timing should be handled separately. $RON is expected to top out faster, $POR will lag but has more room. Don’t fantasize about a reversal; the trend has already signaled. What remains is patience and discipline. The market right now is not about gambling, it’s about calculation. Execute calmly, and profits will naturally follow. #ShortSetups #TrendTiming

The $BTC options market has a clear target, with bulls betting on a surge to 115,000 by the end of the year. But honestly, is this optimism reliable? Where's the data supporting it? I always feel this bull run lacks solid backing. The market is currently overheated, but if the news suddenly turns sour, a price drop is definitely possible. #BTC #Options

Two candles waiting to be lit, two poised short positions. $KAT is hovering at 0.0100, RSI 65.2 still breathing heavily at a high level, I'm not waiting for a breakout but a pullback. The entry point at 0.0105 is set there like a fishing line waiting for a bite, stop loss at 0.0111, the space is wide enough, risk control is well understood. Target is 0.0088, not aggressive, but the resistance zone resonates beautifully; once the energy is exhausted, this retracement is worth taking. $ONT current price at 0.0655, RSI 64.5 almost synchronized, the technical fatigue is unmistakable. Entry at 0.0688, stop loss at 0.0722, target looking at 0.0592, the structure’s support and resistance are as clear as if drawn. Both assets are lingering at high levels, market sentiment is hesitant, and hesitation is a signal flare for bears. No greed for position size, no betting on reversal, just capturing that confirmed segment of momentum. Waiting quietly for the trigger, swift and decisive.

Pessimistic view: The short pressure on EUR/GBP is really intense, with both RSI and MACD trending downwards. The key level at 0.8500 looks like it won't hold. The Bank of England is hawkish while the European Central Bank is dovish, with such clear policy divergence, the downtrend can't be stopped. Once it breaks below 0.85, the downside space will fully open up, posing a huge risk.

$BTC fell below 80,000, dropping 1.76% in a single day. Geopolitical tensions combined with profit-taking create double pressure. Unrealized profits hit a new high since June. Can the 80,000 level hold? Market sentiment is very delicate.

TURBO is now at 0.0014, I have an order placed at 0.0015 waiting to short it. RSI is 67.5, momentum isn't fully exhausted yet, but the structure is already showing signs of weakness. This position isn't a blind gamble; it's an area where liquidity accumulates. Once the price rebounds to my entry point, it's a signal to enter with momentum. Target is 0.0012, stop loss set at 0.0015, the risk-reward ratio is clean and straightforward. I don't need it to crash wildly, just need it to return to the trajectory I've calculated. Short positions should be like a scalpel: cut in, finish, don't drag it out. GLM is also on my radar, priced at 0.1454, still a bit away from my entry at 0.1527. RSI is 65.2, not overbought yet, but the trend structure is already loosening. Stop loss is set at 0.1615, target at 0.1309. If this wave bounces up to my order, I will short without hesitation. The market sometimes gives you a second chance, but don't expect a third. Watch these rebounds coldly; they are not reversals, just liquidity gifts. Neither order has been triggered yet, but the plan is set. I like this state—quietly waiting for the price to come onto my board. Structure doesn't lie, trends speak, and I'm just the one willing to listen. Don't chase highs and lows in a range; patience is the leverage for profit. If TURBO and GLM both follow the script, this week will end well. Remember, not every bullish candle is worth chasing; some are just traps to lure you in. Stay calm, focused, and wait for the signal. #ShortSetup #TrendStructure