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#USTreasuryHits19YrHigh The US 30-year Treasury just touched 5.20% intraday. Highest since 2007 π
Two months ago the market was pricing in multiple cuts this year. Now rate swaps are showing 80%+ odds of at least one hike by December. That's not a gradual shift β that's a complete narrative collapse π
And the kicker: this move isn't being driven by a hot economy. It's Iran tensions, Hormuz Strait risk, oil staying elevated. Geopolitical inflation, not fundamental inflation. If US-Iran talks actually land this week, does 5.20% hold or unwind just as fast? π€
Gold under pressure. BTC under pressure. Both getting hit by the same macro headwind at the same time.
So much for "digital gold" as a rate hedge π
The question that actually matters: is BTC's correlation to rates a permanent feature now, or does it only show up under specific macro conditions? Because the answer changes everything about how you size it in a portfolio π
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